Is the Big Sky Real Estate Market Too Hot?

by Liz Nitz

Today I am looking at pricing and real estate market trends in Big Sky Montana.  This should serve to round out one’s perspective on real estate in southwest Montana – check my blogs on November 15 and 25th for more information on Belgrade and Bozeman. The four graphs below represent single family homes, condos and townhomes in 4 different price categories.  In the first graph, we see sold prices of homes below $295K.  You might think this looks like good news for buyers but if you factor in actually how many homes have actually sold and are on the market, you see that there are 2 single family homes listed and 9 condos.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have homes from 295K to 512K.  In this category, pricing looks pretty flat in 2019.  But factor in that there are no single family homes and only 20 condos on the market currently.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 295000-512000

 

 

In the next category seen below, we have home from 512K – 1.1M.  Things get a little interesting here as we see median prices for single family at 947K and condos at 752K.  Townhomes and Single family homes especially reflect pretty large increases this year which is, of course, a function of little supply and big demand.  As we sit today, there are 3 single family homes on the market right now and no townhomes but there are 24 condos in this price category available.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 512000-1100000

 

 

In the last category, we see everything over 1.1M.  And we see increasing prices this year in the single family and condo categories.  There are currently 56 single family homes on the market and 58 condos.  Clearly, this is where the developers and builders are concentrating and where they perceive the demand to be.

Big Sky housing market median sales price by property type 1100000

 

 

The Big Sky market is different than our other SW Montana housing markets as it is primarily made up of second homes.  The second homes are owned by mostly outsiders or non Montanans.  Their money has come from the booming economy and record stock market that we have seen in the past few years.  I think that as long as that continues, all will be good in Big Sky as it is a beautiful place with many amenities.  However, all economics are cyclical and at some point, we will have some kind of slow down in the US and world economy.  At that point we will see this Big Sky market slow as well and like most second home markets, it will probably take a bigger hit than primary home markets and take longer to recover.   All home buyers need to weigh the risk against their financial situation to evaluate whether a second home purchase in a place like Big Sky is a good decision.

What Should Affordable Housing Look Like in Bozeman?

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non disclosure state so only licensed real estate professionals can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation!  I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

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The following homes listed below were just listed in the last 7 days. This seller’s market is hot so we keep a close eye on the latest inventory. Subscribe below for instant updates of your ideal criteria.

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2238 Baxter Lane 8, Bozeman, Montana 59718

2238 Baxter Lane 8, Bozeman, Montana 59718

2Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
970Sqft
This cozy, well-maintained, and bright second level 2 Bed, 2 Bath condo boasts it all from new LVP flooring throughout the kitchen and living room to its convenient proximity to shopping, parks, and schools. Enjoy the mountain view from the covered balcony before heading to the nearby walking trails. Easy access to the detached single car garage and private parking space.
$375,000

1755 Windrow Drive, Bozeman, Montana 59718

1755 Windrow Drive, Bozeman, Montana 59718

4Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.02Acre
2,100Sqft
Modern, single level living in Flanders Mill! This like-new home boasts soaring ceilings, an entertainer’s kitchen with quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances coupled with a thoughtful and open floor plan.
$1,099,000

5408 May Fly Street, Bozeman, Montana 59718

5408 May Fly Street, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.14Acre
1,796Sqft
Don't miss out on this rare opportunity to own a single family home in Bozeman listed under $700,000 with mountain views! This well laid out, 1796 sq ft Norton Ranch home features 3 generously sized bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, large closets, and an open floor plan on the ground floor. The fenced back yard gives plenty of privacy while still getting plenty of sun year round.
$695,000

2400 W Durston Road 40, Bozeman, Montana 59715

2400 W Durston Road 40, Bozeman, Montana 59715

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
1,820Sqft
Appealing Willowbrook condo with updated luxury vinyl plank flooring in kitchen, dining area and living room. Full kitchen appliance package plus a washer and dryer. Gas fireplace serves dining and living room areas. Large east facing patio for enjoyment in the summer. First floor master with double closets. The two bedrooms on the second floor share a full bath. Two car garage.
$539,000

743 Loxley Drive, Bozeman, Montana 59718

743 Loxley Drive, Bozeman, Montana 59718

5Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.19Acre
2,348Sqft
Location, main level master and a 3 car tandem garage are just a few of the reasons you have to tour this property for yourself! Vaulted ceilings, five bedrooms, two and half bath with over 2,000 sq ft. this floor plan allows for a variety of options to suit your needs. Directly out the backdoor leads you to a patio with a pergola great for entertaining in the backyard.
$829,900

2526 Maiden Star Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59715

2526 Maiden Star Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59715

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.20Acre
2,455Sqft
The Legends home you have been waiting for! 3 bedroom 2 1/2 bath, high end custom built by DK Homes. Fantastic location close to neighborhood trails that link to the M/town trail and Story Mill Park. Minutes to Main Street and Bridger Bowl. This home features an open floor plan showcasing rock fireplace with soaring vaulted ceilings.
$997,000

3801 Renova Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3801 Renova Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.14Acre
1,242Sqft
Currently the ONLY single family home in Bozeman city limits under $600,000! This single level three bedroom, two bath home is situated in Oak Springs subdivision, directly across from the neighborhood park and within close proximity to the Gallatin County Regional Park.
$590,000

114 Michael Grove, Bozeman, Montana 59718

114 Michael Grove, Bozeman, Montana 59718

3Bedroom(s)
2Bathroom(s)
0.08Acre
1,354Sqft
Looking for a great investment, home for your college students or just a great deal in an increasingly competitive market??? Well, look no further. This townhome is 3 beds, 2 full baths, great back yard ready for your personal touch. Located conveniently to all things Bozeman, this centrally located home gives you access to wherever you need to go.
$449,900

4616 Danube Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59718

4616 Danube Lane, Bozeman, Montana 59718

4Bedroom(s)
3Bathroom(s)
0.42Acre
3,834Sqft
Highly sought after Baxter Meadows West location! If you're looking to be in the heart of Bozeman's energy, look no farther! Conveniently located just blocks from Bozeman schools, the neighborhood park, Bozeman Sports Park, Gallatin Regional Park, Dog Park, pump track & Dinosaur Park...it's a rare find! Situated on just over 0.
$1,359,800
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