Belgrade 2019 Real Estate Trends

Belgrade 2019 Real Estate Trends

Belgrade December numbers are in!  Let’s take a look at the Belgrade real estate pricing trends of 2019, compare it to trends of previous years of 2017 and 2018 and  check the crystal ball for 2020.  The following numbers represent all sales in each category for each year and numbers are coming from the Big Sky MLS.

Median Sales Prices

First up are median sales prices.  I have divided these sales into Single family, Townhomes and Condos.  We see a not unexpected increase in median sold prices in all three of these categories BUT we also see a slowing rate of increase which is great news for buyers. This statistic bolsters the thought that the real estate market is becoming more balanced.

 

Median Price Per Square Foot

Second number I checked to confirm the median sales price slow down, was the median price per square foot. And I reached the same conclusion, that prices are indeed slowing their rate of increase.

 

Days On Market

To help round out the picture of the market conditions, I then took a look at days on market.  If days on market is a large number and homes are languishing on the market, then we would have certainly turned the corner to a buyer’s market.  But alas, this is not what I found and in fact, homes in all categories are still moving along at a good pace with a decrease in DOM actually found in the townhome category.

 

Looking Ahead to 2020

So what does this mean for Belgrade real estate pricing in 2020?  All indications currently point to a very similar year in 2020 as in 2019.  Mortgage rates are now very low (under 3.7% for conventional 30 year fixed!) which will make it attractive for people to consider a home purchase.  As seen below, Belgrade remains an attractive alternative to Bozeman and builders are building new homes, especially single family, as fast as they can.

Even with that though, there is still less than 3 months of inventory on the market.

I have attached a great listing that is representative of single family homes in Belgrade.  Thanks to Dina Emmert.  https://www.windermere.com/listing/MT/Belgrade/1547-Powers-59714/103416383

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non-disclosure state so only licensed realtors can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation! Keep an eye on the blog at https://movemetomontana.com/  for more ongoing analysis. I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 6:56 pm
Liz Nitz | Category: Real Estate in Montana | Tagged , , ,

Bozeman 2019 Real Estate Pricing Trends

Bozeman 2019 Real Estate Pricing Trends

Bozeman December numbers are in!  Let’s take a look at the Bozeman real estate pricing trends of 2019, compare it to trends of previous years of 2017 and 2018 and  check the crystal ball for 2020.  The following numbers represent all sales in each category for each year and numbers are coming from the Big Sky MLS.

Median Sales Prices

First up are median sales prices – I have divided these sales into Single family, Townhomes and Condos.  We see a not unexpected increase in median sold prices in all three of these categories BUT we also see a slowing rate of increase which is great news for buyers and bolsters the thought that the real estate market is becoming more balanced.

Median Price Per Square Foot

Second number I checked to confirm the median sales price slow down, was the median price per square foot. And I reached the same conclusion, that prices are indeed slowing their rate of increase.

Days On Market

To help round out the picture of the market conditions, I then took a look at days on market.  If days on market is a large number and homes are languishing on the market, then we would have certainly turned the corner to a buyer’s market.  But alas, this is not what I found and in fact, homes in all categories are still moving along at a good pace with a decrease in DOM actually found in the single family home category.

Looking Ahead to 2020

So what does this mean for Bozeman real estate pricing in 2020?  All indications currently point to a very similar year in 2020 as in 2019.  Mortgage rates are now very low (under 3.7% for conventional 30 year fixed!) which will make it attractive for people to consider a home purchase.  Movement to the Bozeman area is expected to continue at similar rates (about 1500 people a year) as in previous years.

 

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non-disclosure state so only licensed realtors can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation! Keep an eye on the blog at https://movemetomontana.com/  for more ongoing analysis. I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

 

 

Posted on January 7, 2020 at 11:00 pm
Liz Nitz | Category: Real Estate in Montana | Tagged , , , , ,

Is the Big Sky real estate market too hot?

Today I am looking at pricing and real estate market trends in Big Sky Montana.  This should serve to round out one’s perspective on real estate in southwest Montana – check my blogs on November 15 and 25th for more information on Belgrade and Bozeman. The four graphs below represent single family homes, condos and townhomes in 4 different price categories.  In the first graph, we see sold prices of homes below $295K.  You might think this looks like good news for buyers but if you factor in actually how many homes have actually sold and are on the market, you see that there are 2 single family homes listed and 9 condos.

In the next category seen below, we have homes from 295K to 512K.  In this category, pricing looks pretty flat in 2019.  But factor in that there are no single family homes and only 20 condos on the market currently.

In the next category seen below, we have home from 512K – 1.1M.  Things get a little interesting here as we see median prices for single family at 947K and condos at 752K.  Townhomes and Single family homes especially reflect pretty large increases this year which is, of course, a function of little supply and big demand.  As we sit today, there are 3 single family homes on the market right now and no townhomes but there are 24 condos in this price category available.

In the last category, we see everything over 1.1M.  And we see increasing prices this year in the single family and condo categories.  There are currently 56 single family homes on the market and 58 condos.  Clearly, this is where the developers and builders are concentrating and where they perceive the demand to be.

The Big Sky market is different than our other SW Montana housing markets as it is primarily made up of second homes.  The second homes are owned by mostly outsiders or non Montanans.  Their money has come from the booming economy and record stock market that we have seen in the past few years.  I think that as long as that continues, all will be good in Big Sky as it is a beautiful place with many amenities.  However, all economics are cyclical and at some point, we will have some kind of slow down in the US and world economy.  At that point we will see this Big Sky market slow as well and like most second home markets, it will probably take a bigger hit than primary home markets and take longer to recover.   All home buyers need to weigh the risk against their financial situation to evaluate whether a second home purchase in a place like Big Sky is a good decision.

These numbers reflect sold pricing.  Remember that Montana is a non disclosure state so only licensed real estate professionals can access accurate data.  If you would like to dive deeper into market trends, please reach out and let’s have a conversation!  I hope you found this helpful – please pass it on!!

 

Posted on December 2, 2019 at 7:29 pm
Liz Nitz | Category: Real Estate in Montana | Tagged , , ,

Statistics that Matter when Timing your Real Estate Move

I want to start this blog by saying that not everyone has the flexibility to time a move or a real estate transaction.  Sometimes, you just have to move and buy or sell your home; Sometimes you find the house of your dreams without really looking.

But for many people trying to decide whether it is time to move to a bigger home or to downsize into a smaller one, whether it is a good time to move to Bozeman or whether it is time to take advantage of favorable interest rates, some market knowledge is imperative to making an informed decision.

To take a quick temperature of the market, I look at Median home sales price, Days on Market, Inventory and Asking price ratio to Sales Price.  There are lots more numbers out there but I find that watching these particular ones roll from month to month gives a pretty accurate picture of what to expect when listing a home for sale or looking to purchase a home.

Recent statistics about Gallatin County only –

Year to Date though September Single Family Median Sales Prices rose 6.3% over 2018.

(From 414K to 440K)

YTD through September Condo and Townhome Median Sales Price rose 8.5% over 2018

(From 295K to 320K)

YTD Days On Market (DOM) Single Family Home rose 6.9% over 2018 from 58 to 62 Days

YTD DOM Condo and Townhome is 53 days down from 64 days in 2018 or -17.2%

As one might expect, these DOM numbers are very different during the prime selling season of May – August where Single family homes sold in 37 Days and Condo/Townhomes sold in 36.

So one may ask how much negotiating of the prices is going on?  Not much as both Single Family and Condo/Townhome are getting 98.7% of their asking price and Higher!

As we head into winter, Single family home inventory has already decreased by 7.5% but Condo Townhome has increased by 31% due to new developments coming on line in Bozeman and Belgrade.

Typically the next few months see a slow down in sales, median price stabilization but also lower inventory.  After a very rapid fire summer in buying and selling, we are approaching a more balanced market but I would still expect that there is pent up demand because mortgage rates are still below 4% after being above 4% for a long time earlier this year and last year.  We are getting tight on inventory of Single Family homes.

My advice to Buyers and Sellers of Single Family homes would be for Sellers to take advantage of the low choice on the market and for Buyers to take advantage of a slower market and really low interest rates.  I am happy to discuss these statistics with you or dive in a little deeper.

Give me a call or send an email and let’s time your best move!

Posted on November 4, 2019 at 10:59 pm
Liz Nitz | Category: Real Estate in Montana | Tagged , , ,

4 Major Considerations in Buying a Home in Bozeman

 

  1. It has been a seller’s market for quite some time. Bozeman has an average of 5 people moving here per DAY!  So, while home prices are not anything like they are in major coastal cities, they are higher than many expect for close to downtown or view properties.

 

  1. There are fixers and homes that could use some updating available for lower prices. For many people, these are great opportunities to gain equity quickly once the update work is complete.  The real caveat here is that Bozeman has an unemployment rate of less than 3% and there are simply not enough skilled tradespeople to do all the work in this booming economy and housing market.  A great remodel can be done but research, planning and patience are a must and maybe a few extra dollars than expected.

 

  1. Montana is a non-disclosure state. There are only a few of these in the nation, but basically, what that means is that home selling prices are not made public.  So all the Zillow algorithms do not work well here, which may impact the accuracy of the Zestimate.  Real estate agents have very strict rules governing their disclosure of home selling prices and a buyer can only get the accurate selling prices of comparative homes they are shopping for by a licensed real estate agent.  Believe it or not, this has less to do with the real estate lobby than it does with the Montana sense of privacy and avoidance of governmental interference.

 

  1. Moving to Bozeman Montana is a great decision. I do not know anybody who has moved here and after a bit of adjustment, including if it had to do with the surprise of remodel cost or difficulty in finding a home, who hasn’t been happy with their decision.

 

These are the realities of reaching for your dream of moving to a place that has a vibrant community, downtown, culture, and outdoor scene.  Good news is that this can be navigated with a knowledgeable real estate agent.

 

As a local and invested real estate professional, I can help you find potential neighborhoods, advise you on pricing but also help you with referrals if you choose the build/remodel road.  I am also thrilled to share my family’s experience in moving here, networking, meeting people and loving Bozeman and Montana.

 

 

Posted on October 30, 2019 at 3:53 pm
Liz Nitz | Category: Real Estate in Montana | Tagged , , ,